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Old 03-12-2008, 09:20 AM   #23 (permalink)
Yao Mania
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Re: Rondo will be a top 5 PG in a few years

Quote:
Originally Posted by agoo101284 View Post
Lets think about this for a second.

If the salary cap was not real and age was irrelivent, I would trade Rondo straight up for any of these guys:
Gilbert Arenas - 26
Mike Bibby - 30
Chauncey Billups - 32
Jose Calderon - 27
Baron Davis - 29
Devin Harris - 25
Jason Kidd - 35
Andre Miller - 32
Steve Nash - 34
Jameer Nelson - 26
Tony Parker - 25
Chris Paul - 22
Jason Terry - 30
Jamaal Tinsley - 30
Deron Williams - 23
Mo Williams - 25

So he's about the 16th best point guard in the NBA right now in my opinion. Which 11 there will he jump over in the next three years? If I were to project retirees, Billups, Kidd, Miller, and Nash would be out as all will be 35 or older by then, though I don't see any of those four retiring that soon, barring serious injury. That leaves seven. I could see Rondo becomming better than Tinsley which leaves six. He could become better than Bibby in three years, but that would require some decline from Bibby, which is likely with his injury history. That leaves five.

We also need to consider Mike Conley Jr., who has a higher ceiling than Rondo. There's also Derrick Rose and Jerryd Bayless in college, among others who could be better than Rondo within three years in the NBA.

I'm a Rondo fan and I think he is a good fit at point guard for this team, paritcularly with his off-season development. However, there's simply no way he'll become a top 5 point guard in the league. He'll be a decent second tier point at best.

Tony Parker's still the same age as Devin Harris? Wow... sometimes I forget he's still so young, esp. since his hot wife's like 8 years older

Of that list, I would NOT trade straight up for Mo Williams amd Tinsley. Jameer Nelson and Devin Harris are questionable. Rondo could very well develop into a special player, but he's still got a lot of growing to do.
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