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Old 11-30-2012, 06:11 AM   #1 (permalink)
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AE Gameday 12/1

Starting this a bit early, because ALL NINE TEAMS ARE IN ACTION. Where's my Drudge Report siren light?

1:00
Brown @ NEW HAMPSHIRE

2:00
VERMONT @ Rhode Island
Mount St. Mary's @ BINGHAMTON
MAINE @ Duquesne
BOSTON @ St. Peter's
Eastern Illinois @ STONY BROOK

7:00
Holy Cross @ HARTFORD
Towson @ UMBC

7:30
ALBANY @ Siena

There are actually a lot of winnable games there, too.
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Old 11-30-2012, 06:20 AM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

Every one of these games is a reasonable winner. This year's OOC is so much better than last year already I'm hoping for 9-0.
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Old 11-30-2012, 07:00 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

Not that any team would ever be looking for "payback" against a team like Eastern Illinois, but Maine and Stony Brook both got jopbbed at EI last season. Would be nice to get that win back over them.
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Old 11-30-2012, 07:07 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

I hope SB shoots more free throws than Eastern Illinois scores.
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Old 11-30-2012, 07:35 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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Originally Posted by NotDeadYet View Post
Every one of these games is a reasonable winner. This year's OOC is so much better than last year already I'm hoping for 9-0.
+1

Last year, a day like this and you knew there would be very few wins.

This year, each game is winnable. Pretty nice turnaround.
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Old 11-30-2012, 07:42 AM   #6 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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Originally Posted by NotDeadYet View Post
Every one of these games is a reasonable winner. This year's OOC is so much better than last year already I'm hoping for 9-0.
would have to be some sort of a record? All 9 winning on the same day
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Old 11-30-2012, 07:58 AM   #7 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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I hope SB shoots more free throws than Eastern Illinois scores.
I particularly remember that game...I hope SBU smashes them and when they walk off...

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Old 11-30-2012, 09:06 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

Quote:
Originally Posted by ccd494 View Post
Starting this a bit early, because ALL NINE TEAMS ARE IN ACTION. Where's my Drudge Report siren light?

1:00
Brown @ NEW HAMPSHIRE

2:00
VERMONT @ Rhode Island
Mount St. Mary's @ BINGHAMTON
MAINE @ Duquesne
BOSTON @ St. Peter's
Eastern Illinois @ STONY BROOK

7:00
Holy Cross @ HARTFORD
Towson @ UMBC

7:30
ALBANY @ Siena

There are actually a lot of winnable games there, too.
Lets go BROOK!!!!
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Old 11-30-2012, 09:52 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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Originally Posted by NotDeadYet View Post
Every one of these games is a reasonable winner. This year's OOC is so much better than last year already I'm hoping for 9-0.
I am just hoping the AE can win the 2 road games at the "peer league" maac. They won't be easy.
If those 2 happen and the league can "steal" a road win out of the other 2 road games and take care of business in most of the home games, I'll be more than happy even without reaching the unrealistic 9-0
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Old 11-30-2012, 10:13 AM   #10 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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I am just hoping the AE can win the 2 road games at the "peer league" maac. They won't be easy.
If those 2 happen and the league can "steal" a road win out of the other 2 road games and take care of business in most of the home games, I'll be more than happy even without reaching the unrealistic 9-0
Agree that it won't be easy. St. Pete is much improved. I think Albany wins but unfortunately BU loses
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Old 11-30-2012, 06:14 PM   #11 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

Quote:
Originally Posted by ccd494 View Post
Starting this a bit early, because ALL NINE TEAMS ARE IN ACTION. Where's my Drudge Report siren light?

1:00
Brown @ NEW HAMPSHIRE

2:00
VERMONT @ Rhode Island
Mount St. Mary's @ BINGHAMTON
MAINE @ Duquesne
BOSTON @ St. Peter's
Eastern Illinois @ STONY BROOK

7:00
Holy Cross @ HARTFORD
Towson @ UMBC

7:30
ALBANY @ Siena

There are actually a lot of winnable games there, too.
Sagarin says:

UNH by 4
UVM by 3
MSM by 8
Duq by 11
BU by 3
SBU by 14
Har by 1
Tow by 3
UA by 2

So to sum it up, Sagarin says 6-3. I'd be happy with that although I think its a half full estimate.
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Old 11-30-2012, 06:41 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

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Originally Posted by Alumni96 View Post
Sagarin says:

UNH by 4
UVM by 3
MSM by 8
Duq by 11
BU by 3
SBU by 14
Har by 1
Tow by 3
UA by 2

So to sum it up, Sagarin says 6-3. I'd be happy with that although I think its a half full estimate.
Another way to project is to use realtime.com for the probability of winning each of the 9 games, then sum the probabilities to get the likely number of W's:

Albany: 0.40
SBU: 0.88
UVM: 0.61
UNH: 0.75
Hartford: 0.55
Maine: 0.14
BU: 0.58
UMBC: 0.71
Bing: 0.47

Sum = 5.09

so, the best bet is that AE will win 5 of tomorrow's 9 games.
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Old 12-01-2012, 10:37 AM   #13 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

UNH is up 16 on Brown with 429 to go in the first half.
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Old 12-01-2012, 10:44 AM   #14 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

Lets go UNH!
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Old 12-01-2012, 11:04 AM   #15 (permalink)
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Re: AE Gameday 12/1

holy crap this St. Peter's crowd looks smaller than a BU crowd
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