11-27-2012, 09:14 AM
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#17 (permalink)
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2005
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Re: Pomeroy Rankings
Quote:
Originally Posted by res
Think of it as a combination of an error term and one or more omitted variables.
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I was just picking at Pomeroy. I'm sure he recognizes that "luck" as most people define it isn't necessarily all that stat is showing, particularly early in the season. After a lot of games have been played, you could argue his model should have better predictive power due to reduced error in estimating variables, though it will still omit variables that could matter.
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