uz2b-len

The rest of the season will have a lot of bearing on who gets COY. Games still to be played.
edit: I think Crews may have the sentimental vote going for him.

UMass87

Good point on Crews. I was one of those who thought SLU would really slip and they are the hottest team in the league right now. The way the A10 schedule is end-loaded, with almost all of the top teams playing each other in the next two weeks, is really pretty cool.

paulxu

Charlotte has been damn impressive, and ruined my last trip to Halton.
But if Mack can pull a couple more out with the games we've got left, I'd vote for him.
Fordham gets within 6 at the 1:45 minute mark, and he puts a walk-on in for defense. That's a thin bench.

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RF1

I don't think the A-10 Offices and Barclays Arena management will be happy if Dayton does not qualify. They probably travel better than any other program in the league. The fact that two (Fordham & URI) of the six (Fordham, Temple, SJU, LaSalle, URI, and UMass) closest schools to Brooklyn are almost certainly not going does not help either.

vcurams05

Not to the extent of Dayton, but VCU will be bringing a solid contingent of fans. Only 330ish miles straight up 95.

ThrowDownDBrown

X should actually bring a good crowd this year. Not in that dump ac anymore and our only chance at the tourney is winning in Brooklyn. In previous years I barely knew any x fans who went to the conference tourney because we'd rather save the money for the NCAA tourney. Plus the team has a history of not showing up when they already had locked in a spot. Last year was the first time we made it past the semis since 06, which was actually the last time we needed to win it to actually make it to the dance

twisted3829

Update through 2/14:

First Round Bye:
1. Virginia Commonwealth 8-2
2. Saint Louis 7-2
3. Xavier 7-3 (1-0 against La Salle and Butler)
4. La Salle 7-3 (1-1 against Xavier and Butler)

Opening Round Games:
5. Butler 7-3 (0-1 against Xavier and La Salle)
6. Charlotte 6-4 (Beat Massachusetts head to head)
7. Massachusetts 6-4
8. George Washington 5-4
9. Saint Joseph's 5-5 (Beat Temple head to head)
10. Temple 5-5
11. Richmond 4-6 (1-0 against VCU)
12. St. Bonaventure 4-6 (0-1 against VCU)

Staying Home:
13. Dayton 3-7
14. Fordham 2-8 (Beat Rhode Island head to head)
15. Rhode Island 2-8
16. Duquesne 1-9

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paulxu

Twisted, just curious. Why is the tie-breaker between Richmond and St. Bonv their games against the first place VCU team?
I know they play each other tomorrow, so that will clear up the tie.
But didn't understand the VCU reference.

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ace93

Tie-break rules are posted in the first post in this thread, but long story short 2nd tie-breaker in a two team tie if head-to-head does not settle it is record against the top-rated team and on down until the tie-break is settled.

paulxu

Thanks.

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twisted3829

Through Saturday's Games with remaining games added (tie breaking rules in post 1)

First Round Bye:
1. Virginia Commonwealth 9-2 (@SLU, @X, vs BU, vs Rich, @Temple)
2. Saint Louis 8-2 (vs VCU, @BU, vs SJU, @GW, @X, vs LSU)
3. La Salle 8-3* (@Temple, @URI, vs Duq, vs GW, @SLU)
4. Butler 8-3 (vs Duq, vs SLU, @VCU, @Umass, vs X)

Opening Round Games:
5. Xavier 7-4 (@URI, vs VCU, vs Umass, vs SLU, @BU)
6. Temple 6-5## (vs LSU, @Char, vs URI, @Ford, vs VCU)
7. Charlotte 6-5# (vs Temple, vs UD, @SBU, @Duq, vs SJU)
8. Massachusetts 6-5 (@SBU, vs UD, @X, vs BU, @URI)
9. George Washington 5-5 (vs Ford, @SJU, @Rich, vs SLU, @LSU, vs UD)
10. Saint Joseph's 5-6$ (vs GW, @SLU, vs Ford, vs URI, @Char)
11. Richmond 5-6 (@Ford, vs GW, @UD, @VCU, vs Duq)
12. Dayton 4-7% (@Umass, @Char, vs Rich, vs SBU, @GW)

Going Home Early:
13. St. Bonaventure 4-7 (vs Umass, @Duq, vs Char, @UD, vs Ford)
14. Rhode Island 3-8 (vs X, vs LSU, @Temple, @SJU, vs Umass)
15. Fordham 2-9 (@GW, vs Rich, @SJU, vs Temple, @SBU)
16. Duquesne 1-10 (@BU, vs SBU, @LSU, vs Char, @Rich)

* beat Butler head to head
## based on 2-0 against Charlotte and UMASS
# based on 1-1 against Temple and UMASS (UMASS is 0-2)
$ beat Richmond head to head
%based on 1-1 against Xavier (SBU 0-1)

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2010-2011 Lock of the Day Contest NIT Champion

bprichard

Welp, I'm frightened. Dayton has played all the pushovers (and lost to one of them, sorry, URI). The Bonnies still have Duquesne and Fordham, as does Richmond. They have three home games to Dayton's two. However, GW makes a good black horse for missing Brooklyn because their schedule is somewhat backloaded. After their home matchup against Fordham, their next four games are tough road matchups with the exception of a just as tough home game against SLU. St. Joe's hasn't been playing well of late, but things get easier from here for them.

It could all come down to Dayton @ GW! Sadly I'd have to choose GW in that situation.

twisted3829

URI is not out of this either, all 5 of their remaining games are winable, X has been struggling, La Salle is at home, Temple and St Joe's are struggling and umass at home (their always seems to be an upset in this series)

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twisted3829

i think VCU has the toughest schedule left

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bprichard

URI is definitely not out of it, but although those games are winnable, it's a tough row to hoe. X has really struggled on the road (although a win in Olean is nothing to scoff at), so that's a good opportunity. But LaSalle, Temple and UMass are all pretty good. And St. Joe's has reeled off some losses here, but asking URI to go up to Philly for the win is a lot.

I think UMass will really depend on their position coming into the game. URI could be facing a team with strong belief that their season is back on track and they have a realistic shot of making the tournament (delusional or not) or a team whose will has been broken by Xavier (still good at home!) and Butler (good in general) (and Dayton, wishful thinking). In which case, I would like URI's chances in that game a lot.