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Old 02-18-2008, 02:15 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Bubble Watch (2-18-08)

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, UNC
Bubble: Maryland, Miami Fl., Wake Forest

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Kansas St., Texas
Bubble: Baylor, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Texas Tech

Big East
Locks: UConn, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, West Virginia
Bubble: Pittsburgh, Syracuse

Big Ten
Locks: Indiana, Michigan St., Purdue, Wisconsin
Bubble: Ohio St.

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Washington St.
Bubble: Arizona St., California, Oregon, USC

SEC
Locks: Arkansas, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble: Florida, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Mississippi St.

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Xavier
Bubble: Dayton, UMass, Rhode Island, St. Joe's

CAA
Locks: None
Bubble: VCU

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: UAB, Houston

Horizon
Locks: Butler
Bubble: None

MAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Kent St.

Missouri Valley
Locks: Drake
Bubble: Illinois St., Southern Illinois

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV, New Mexico

Southern
Locks: None
Bubble: Davidson

Summit
Locks: None
Bubble: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: South Alabama, Western Kentucky

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's
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Old 02-18-2008, 06:02 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: Bubble Watch (2-18-08)

I think your a little quick on the lock trigger with

a) Arizona - I wouldn't be shocked if they run out the PAC-10 at 2-5, and finish with an 8-10 record. They would then have an RPI probably around 30, but I don't think it would be good enough,

b) West Virginia - I see them either winning 9 or 10 games. They are 7-5, but 4 of the last 6 are in the road. It's no guarantee that they get to 10-8... and even then while 10-8 would likely be good enough, its not a guarantee either.
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Old 02-18-2008, 08:35 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: Bubble Watch (2-18-08)

Yeah, you may be right.

For what it's worth, Arizona's going to finish the season with one of the toughest SOS, and I think they'll be .500 in conference which should put them in just fine.

West Virginia's got a pretty easy schedule the rest of the way, too.
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