apelman42

Two things:

a.) I like to see Purdue on the bubble. They had a miserable December, but have built some quality wins in the conference thus far.

b.) I think you can take Mizzou off the bubble. Hannah is out 4-6 weeks...I think they'll struggle the rest of the way.

TM

Counting up the "locks" - that's 26 bids. Add a few more conference winners... There are a TON of spots to fill still... I know you're projecting, but I think at least two of those Pac 10 bubble teams will be in... I think UF and MSU are pretty sure bets too. By seasons end, somehow Kentucky will be on some bubble lists... I don't see Notre Dame missing the tourney either... I end my random thoughts there.

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coolpohle

Missouri's been a very disappointing team for me this year, as I thought they would be really solid. I thought Keon Lawrence would make some big strides this year but he's taken a step backwards. They've lost 5 games by six points or less, which surely hasn't helped, either.

Purdue has to be considered a bubble team at 15-5 and 6-1, especially with the way their defense is playing. That win over Wisconsin, as well as wins over Louisville and Ohio St. already will look good to the committee on Selection Sunday. They still have some work to do, though.

The thing with these bubble watch lists is that it's not a perfect science. Everyone's got their own definition of what a lock and a bubble team should look like.

You can't forget about the other 15 or however many conferences that I didn't list, TM. Florida, Mississippi St., and Notre Dame are all teams that you could consider locks, but I decided to be safe and just put them as bubble teams. Maybe I'll put in a Bubble But In Spot next week.

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TM

haha, that sounds good. i understand what you're saying. I wouldn't consider UF, MSU, ND "locks" either. But I'm 95% sure they'll make the tournament. Good list.

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UltimatePeteMaravich

Pac-10 will be good for 6 or 7 come March...USC and Oregon will find a way...

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coolpohle

Arizona St. was looking pretty good until they lost back to back home games to Washington and Washington St. Now they've got some work to do.

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Lari Ketner

I think Seton Hall should be in the mix somewhere; their RPI is 47. They've been playing some good ball lately. I know they still need a signature win (they're 3-5 against the RPI top 100), but they have plenty of opportunities left to get. It's too bad they couldn't hold on to get that win at Marquette.

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coolpohle

Yeah, you're probably right Lari, they're a bubble team at this point, although they're on the outside looking in. Let's see how they get through a brutal stretch the next couple of weeks that features road contests against Georgetown, 'Nova, and West Virginia, not to mention tough home contests against Notre Dame and Marquette.

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coolpohle

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, UNC
Bubble: Georgia Tech, Maryland, Miami Fl., NC St., Virginia Tech

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Kansas St., Texas
Bubble: Baylor, Missouri, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Texas Tech

Big East
Locks: UConn, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Bubble: Notre Dame, Providence, Seton Hall, Syracuse

Big Ten
Locks: Indiana, Michigan St., Wisconsin
Bubble: Ohio St., Purdue

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Washington St.
Bubble: California, Oregon, USC

SEC
Locks: Arkansas, Tennessee
Bubble: Florida, Kentucky, Ole Miss, Mississippi St., Vanderbilt

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Xavier
Bubble: Dayton, UMass, Rhode Island, St. Joe's, Temple

CAA
Locks: None
Bubble: George Mason, VCU

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: UAB

Horizon
Locks: Butler
Bubble: None

MAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Kent St., Ohio

Missouri Valley
Locks: Drake
Bubble: Illinois St.

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV, San Diego St.

Southern
Locks: None
Bubble: Davidson

Summit
Locks: None
Bubble: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: South Alabama, Western Kentucky

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's

__________________
'07-'08 Locks of the Day Champ 73-42-1 (63%) ATS
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coolpohle

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, UNC
Bubble: Florida St., Georgia Tech, Maryland, Miami Fl., NC St.

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Kansas St., Texas, Texas A&M
Bubble: Baylor, Missouri, Oklahoma

Big East
Locks: UConn, Georgetown, Louisville, Marquette, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh
Bubble: Syracuse, West Virginia

Big Ten
Locks: Indiana, Michigan St., Purdue, Wisconsin
Bubble: Ohio St.

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Washington St.
Bubble: Oregon, USC

SEC
Locks: Arkansas, Mississippi St., Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble: Florida, Kentucky, Ole Miss

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Xavier
Bubble: Dayton, UMass, Rhode Island, St. Joe's

CAA
Locks: None
Bubble: George Mason, VCU

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: UAB, Houston

Horizon
Locks: Butler
Bubble: None

MAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Kent St., Ohio

Missouri Valley
Locks: Drake
Bubble: Creighton, Illinois St.

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV

Southern
Locks: None
Bubble: Davidson

Summit
Locks: None
Bubble: Oral Roberts

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: South Alabama, Western Kentucky

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's

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TM