coolpohle

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, Florida St., Miami FL., UNC
Bubble: Boston College, Virginia Tech

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Texas, Texas A&M
Bubble: Baylor, Missouri, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Texas Tech

Big East
Locks: Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, West Virginia
Bubble: UConn, Louisville, Notre Dame, Providence, Syracuse, Villanova

Big Ten
Locks: Michigan St., Indiana, Wisconsin
Bubble: Illinois, Minnesota, Purdue

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, USC, Washington St.
Bubble: Arizona St., California, Oregon, Stanford

SEC
Locks: Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee
Bubble: LSU, South Carolina, Vanderbilt

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Rhode Island, Xavier
Bubble: Dayton, Duquesne, UMass, St. Joseph's

Big West
Locks: None
Bubble: UC-Santa Barbara

CAA
Locks: None
Bubble: George Mason, VCU

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: UAB, UTEP

Horizon
Locks: None
Bubble: Butler, Valparaiso

MAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Kent St., Miami OH., Ohio

Missouri Valley
Locks: None
Bubble: Creighton, Drake

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV, New Mexico, San Diego St.

Patriot
Locks: None
Bubble: Holy Cross

Southland
Locks: None
Bubble: Texas Arlington

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: North Texas, South Alabama, Western Kentucky

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's

TM

First let me get something cleared up - you're not projecting anything, right? You're saying, "If the season ended today," right?

Who would have thought that theteam picked last in the ACC would be considered a lock after one month.

Ya, I need you explain how you did this. I don't understand how USC (at 6-3, with only 1 quality win) could be a "lock" while a Vanderbilt is a "bubble" team. Again - are you projecting or saying "if the season ended today?"

I thought Gonzaga fans said this was a top 10 team? What went wrong?

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coolpohle

I suppose I should have clarified that. This is not assuming the season ended today.

Miami's been a big surprise, but they're for real. Their resume is very good. 9-0 including wins over VCU, Providence, and @ Mississippi St. From what I've seen, no reason they can't finish at least 21-8. That puts them with an RPI of 20 or higher. They're in.

USC has piled up some good resume building wins over teams like Miami OH, Southern Illinois, Oklahoma, and @ South Carolina. They're a debatable lock, I'll give you that. But I think they're good enough to go at least 10-8 in conference which should put them in fine shape.

I don't think Vanderbilt's as good as advertised. If the season ended today, they would be in for sure. But they played a weak OOC schedule which is going to hurt them on Selection Sunday, and I think they'll struggle in the SEC.

Gonzaga's not too far off from being a top 10 team. The reason I didn't say that they're a lock is because it's hard to be considered one if you're not in a power conference. They should be fine, but you never know if that loss to Texas Tech could haunt them down the road. And what if they lose to Oklahoma and Tennessee?

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coolpohle

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, Miami Fl., UNC
Bubble: Florida St., Virginia, Virginia Tech

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas A&M
Bubble: Baylor, Missouri, Nebraska, Texas Tech

Big East
Locks: Georgetown, Marquette, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, West Virginia
Bubble: UConn, Louisville, Notre Dame, Providence, Villanova

Big Ten
Locks: Indiana, Michigan St., Wisconsin
Bubble: Illinois, Minnesota, Ohio St.

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, Stanford, Washington St.
Bubble: Arizona St., California, Oregon, USC

SEC
Locks: Mississippi, Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble: Arkansas, Florida, Mississippi St., South Carolina

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Rhode Island
Bubble: Dayton, Duquesne, UMass, Xavier

CAA
Locks: None
Bubble: George Mason, VCU

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: None

Horizon
Locks: None
Bubble: Butler

MAAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Siena

MAC
Locks: None
Bubble: Kent St., Miami Oh., Ohio

Missouri Valley
Locks: None
Bubble: Creighton, Drake

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV, New Mexico, Utah

Patriot
Locks: None
Bubble: Holy Cross

Southland
Locks: None
Bubble: Stephen Austin, Texas Arlington

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: South Alabama

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's


Syracuse is probably the most questionable lock, but they should be in good shape to make the tourney. They're going to look better than they are because of a fortunate Big East schedule. They get to play most of the cupcake teams on the road: Cincinnati, DePaul, South Florida, and Seton Hall, while they get pretty much all of the tough teams at home. As a result, they'll probably go 11-7 or 12-6 in conference, punching their ticket to the dance.

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CarlosTheJackal

You have X on the bubble at this point? Tough room!

coolpohle

Tough to be considered a lock in a non BCS conference, especially when you've got a home loss in a game you were favored in, along with losses to Miami OH and Arizona St. I'm sure they'll get in, but I wouldn't consider them a certainty at this point.

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B-Easy

Right now I have Butler as a lock in the Horizon. With impressive wins over Va-Tech, Texas Tech, Ohio St., and Florida St., I would give them an at-large right now.

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coolpohle

I'm sure they'll be fine. Everyone's got a definition for a lock. I'm always careful giving the lock status to teams that are mid majors because you've got to do a lot to get in, no questions asked.

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coolpohle

This is not based off if the season ended today.

ACC
Locks: Clemson, Duke, UNC
Bubble: Florida St., Miami Fl.

Big 12
Locks: Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas, Texas A&M
Bubble: Baylor, Kansas St., Missouri

Big East
Locks: Georgetown, Marquette, West Virginia
Bubble: UConn, Louisville, Notre Dame, Pittsburgh, Providence, Syracuse

Big Ten
Locks: Indiana, Michigan St., Ohio St., Wisconsin
Bubble: Minnesota

Pac 10
Locks: Arizona, UCLA, Washington St.
Bubble: Arizona St., California, Oregon, USC, Stanford,

SEC
Locks: Mississippi, Mississippi St., Tennessee, Vanderbilt
Bubble: Arkansas, Florida

Non BCS

Atlantic 10
Locks: Dayton, Xavier
Bubble: Duquesne, Rhode Island

Conference USA
Locks: Memphis
Bubble: None

Horizon
Locks: Butler
Bubble: None

Missouri Valley
Locks: Drake
Bubble: Illinois St.

MWC
Locks: None
Bubble: BYU, UNLV, New Mexico, Utah

Sun Belt
Locks: None
Bubble: South Alabama

WCC
Locks: None
Bubble: Gonzaga, St. Mary's

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ktabz16

i'm assuming umass is squarely back on your bubble after beating dayton last night right?