Here is my latest article for those that are interested
Sorry about the length - maybe the board needs a formatted feature page as the editorial section is too dense and it is hard to get a sequential flow of discussion with everyone's articles just lumped one over the other
Anyway hope you enjoy but for those that don't I apologise in advance
FJ
DID SOMEBODY HOLLA FOR A MARSHALL?
By Mark Hayes
18/8/2002
There are two schools of thought over this signing
The first : Why was Donyell Marshall signed when all he is going to do is take playing time from our young core ?
The second : Donyell Marshall is a proven vet that not only will make us more competitive straight away but who by virtue of his signing will engender a competitive battle for playing time .
I’m from the second school but then again I always was into Charles Darwin in terms of how things work in the big bad world.
For all those that sweat and fret about your favourite pets , the only way your dawgs will get meaningful minutes is if their bite is indeed worse than the bark. Meaning – minutes for Jay Williams ,Jamal Crawford, Marcus Fizer, Eddy Curry, Tyson Chandler and Trenton Hassell , beyond the obligatory developmental minutes we need to invest in them, will all largely depend upon their individual rates of improvement on defense.
So what’s good for the goose is good for the gander – right ?
Not necessarily.
Jalen Rose and Donyell Marshall are our only two proven consistent veteran scorers and for us to be competitive this year we will need them giving us 40 points a night to be in the hunt for the win. So who wants to kill the goose (geese) that lay the golden eggs ?
I am not saying they are exempt from playing defense. They are not. But there is a tendency to beat it up over their lack of defensive prowess. This is largely spread by the sheep who bleat it after they read it without really understanding roles that they play on their team and efforts they make in playing team defense.
And I promise there will be no more farmyard animal references.
The tick tock on Donyell
Most Jazz fans seem remorseful that he is going but are cushioning the blow with the comfort that Matt Harpring is greater bang for the buck after Donyell reportedly turned down a 4 year deal starting at $7M
There are other Jazz fans who insist that :
- *He only became the productive player he was under the Jazz system and that outside of this system he will suck at the Bulls as he did at Golden State
*He is a black hole
*He only gets garbage points.
Mmmmm. Let’s dissect that shall we?
Scalpel.
With regard to the first point and being in the top 3 in field goal conversion I assume this point is based on that he would be nowhere near this mark without John Stockton. A great point guard does make you better- no doubt, but can’t a player just coming into his prime take some credit for his own development as a player?
There are also a raft of issues as to why Donyell was not as productive in Golden State as he was in Utah . When he was acquired by Golden State, they had Mark Price at the tail end of his career in his first year there and he then had such luminaries as Bimbo Coles and non point guards BJ Armstrong and John Starks manning the point, and later , a deteriorating Mookie Blaylock and disappointing 1st round draft pick , Vonteego Cummings. Hardly a stellar point guard crew over seasons.
Clamp .
In addition to this , Golden State’s squad was imbalanced and in disarray – the confusion of roles and as to who was doing what , led to boiling point in the squad when Latrell Sprewell tried to show PJ Carlesimo just how a windsor knot should be tied when a Coach chooses to wear a neck tie to training. Whilst Donyell stopped short of choking his coach he soldiered on in his Warriors campaign sharing the trenches with Chris Mills, Billy Owens ( small forward ) and Jason Caffey and Antawn Jamison ( power forward – until they figured out that maybe Antawn is a 3 too and that they had a pair of tweeners on the forward line in Tawn and Yell . Dang! Why did they do that Vince trade? That’s another story ).
Suction .
What impresses me about Donyell Marshall in his Golden State campaign is that when Antawn Jamison was acquired he could have folded and quit but he actively went out and became more judicious and disciplined in selecting his outside shot . Around 30% of his shots were 3 point attempts in his first few years there as he sought to find his own role at the 3 and differentiate himself in the absence of any real leadership on the team or from the coaching staff. A lot of players on teams like this in this situation just think of scoring points to get their trade value or free agency value up and the compulsion to take the “money” shots from outside to meet this aim can prove tempting for some whilst also being their downfall. Donyell took the high road and went the other way. His 3 point shooting percentage increased in his final 2 years as a Warrior to a respectable 36% , yet he was taking half of the 3 point shots he was taking as a function of his overall shot numbers when he first joined the Warriors 5 years earlier such that his 3 point attempts now only accounted for 15% of his shot output. At the same time he posted career highs in rebounding ( 10 ) , assists, ( 2.6 ) and blocks (1.06) – and maintained over 1 steal a game at 1.06.
There is the evidence that he already was on his way to understanding the discipline of shot selection and being a more rounded player by the time he got to the Jazz that supposedly “made” him.
The Jazz didn’t “make” him – they just enhanced him.
Last year, the very stable Jazz averaged 24 assists per game and the Bulls averaged 22. When Jalen Rose and Travis Best were acquired , our assist average per game stayed about the same. But what was evident to people who saw our games, the ball movement was freer and opportunities opened up for Eddy Curry, Tyson Chandler and Marcus Fizer . There were also plenty of missed opportunities from the rookies on Jalen’s feeds that could have easily counted in the assists column. On top of this , the guy that was supposed to be our starting point guard , Jamal Crawford was unavailable until late in the season .
Adding up all of these factors, the two assist differential between ourselves and the Jazz coupled with the fact that Donyell Marshall is now a proven, consistent and prudent selector of his shot, mean that there should be very little difference in Donyell’s production .
This is predicated upon two things.
First, he needs to remain injury free. In 8 seasons, he has only completed 1 full season ( not including the shortened lock out season ) and has averaged 58 games a season . More on this later.
Second , we need extreme focus and communication in the definition of the roles that everybody has to play and discipline in their execution and if this can be achieved, our young nucleus will receive time to keep developing and possibly may achieve a winning season with Donyell being a very big part of our immediate puzzle as a genuine second/third option . More on this later too.
Gauze….
Now as to the issue of him being a black hole and only scoring off garbage points…. how does this work exactly? I would hardly call someone who only averages 11.4 shots a game a black hole. If anything, the only thing that you could call someone who is in the top 3 in the league in field conversion who wants more shots - is justified. He has always been a very good offensive rebounder , the mark of which, is someone that can average close to 3 a game. Add this to the fact that he has become more judicious of the 3 point shot which represents only 15% of his shot output and you get the picture of a guy that takes, makes and creates a lot of high percentage shots.
Ok that should do it .. suture up and close for me
Why a healthy Donyell to start the season is important to our win column looking wealthy so we have our best chance to make it to the playoffs to get wise
If only it was so simple as early to bed and early to rise ……
Maybe for the fact that he has only averaged 58 games over 8 full NBA seasons cast doubts in the Jazz’s mind as to his health which led to questions over value in the context of durability in going forward into the post Stockton/Malone era. In this “new economy” of the CBA in which flexibility within cap space is becoming more and more revered, $7M is a lot of scratch to have tied up in a 29 year old player that has only averaged 58 games in 8 full seasons – particularly when that player is never going to be a franchise player and is your genuine second to third option.
I can understand what the Jazz did. But we do not have such reliance on him over time ( and not for that cost too I might add ) as over time our long term investment is elsewhere.
However, in the short term we need Donyell to be completely injury free to be contributing big with Jalen from day one to help get us over the unkind schedule we have through to early December.
Some quick snack facts to help you digest this food for thought :
- *To December 29th last year , Donyell played the full 29 games where the Jazz (who were without Bryon Russell at shooting guard and had to make do with Quincy Lewis , John Starks and Deshawn Stevenson ) were 14 from 29 – a 48% winning percentage
*Over this period we averaged 17.3 ppg and 7.6 rpg on 56% field goal conversion ( 30% from beyond the arc ) and played 36 minutes a game
*He played over 30 minutes in 23 of the 29 games
*Where he played 30 minutes or more he averaged 19.2 ppg and 7.9 rpg on an average of 13 shots or roughly 1 shot every 2.75 minutes – hardly a black hole , and in fact a perfect, consistent , second/third option.
*Early in the New Year, he seemed to be carrying niggling injuries that got worse and he spent one half of January playing limited minutes and the rest of January and pretty well all of February on the injured list .
*He then had to come back ( in March ) and get back into his groove, by which time there was only a month to go in the regular season.
*He saw his minutes from before the injury decrease from 32 to 26 – the major beneficiary in this reallocation was Andrei Kirilenko and to a much lesser extent, Scott Padgett because of his superior 3 point shooting ability
Given the horrendous schedule we have to endure at the start of the season and the necessity of setting the tone in this period if we make the playoffs or not , it is absolutely vital for Donyell to be healthy and giving us 30 minutes a night. If he can do that we have a shot. If not, then it is far more improbable.
So who gets shafted ?
No one need be actually.
There should be a working roster of 10 players set with plenty of opportunity for everybody on that list of 10 so long as they play their role and have the capacity and willingness to improve themselves defensively within the team scheme
In addressing who gets what minutes the most logical position is start off on a base of Jalen Rose at say 36 minutes and Donyell Marshall at 30 minutes.
Their roles then need to be defined as principal scorers one and two and equal secondary creator/initiator of the offense ( with Jamal Crawford ) for Jalen , and equal secondary rebounder (with Eddy Curry ) for Donyell
That then addresses the roles of principal creator/initiator of the offense and principal rebounder / help defender . I would think that these roles need to be assumed by Jay Williams and Tyson Chandler respectively – Tyson Chandler having specific responsibility for clearing the defensive glass
We then need a guy who goes in hard and is responsible for boxing out and marshalling others to do so and who is also a capable man on man defender in the post. That guy is Corie Blount .
So that takes care of our starting 5
Blount
Chandler
Marshall
Rose
Williams
Marshall is our principal inside /outside scorer and Rose is our principal perimeter scorer. Tyson is the secondary offensive option inside but who will get the majority of his points from running the break with Jay, Jalen or Jamal. Within this starting 5 , Jay is the secondary perimeter threat . Corie Blount , at this stage will rebound and box out and represents the best of our big men in terms of capability in playing man on man defense in the post. On this basis , and for balance, given that the majority of the set offense would go to Rose, Marshall and Williams in this line up – he and Tyson are probably the two best big men defenders we have ( Tyson still has a way to go but is a superior help defender than Marcus Fizer and Eddy Curry )
This definition of roles really puts the onus back on to Jay Williams to adapt to a different role he had last year at Duke and focus on getting Donyell Marshall and Jalen Rose going , and , looking for the fast break to get Tyson involved early. I like Jay’s aggressiveness over Jamal and see a better capacity to get his own shot if nothing is doing and more of a preparedness to take it in strong and initiate contact. I also like Jay’s strength over Jamal’s and whilst shorter than Jamal , his lower sense of gravity combined with his strength and quick hands should not see him posted too often from opposing points even of they are two inches taller. This is Jay’s chance to run the team without being the team as some have criticized him on in his tenure at Duke.
Our specialist perimeter defender is undoubtedly Trent Hassell and he will see his share of minutes. He is a rebounding guard that can pass and run the break with the best of them which further strengthens his claim to be more than just a roster spot who plays mop up minutes
That leaves us with an exciting trio of designated bench scorers in Eddy Curry, Marcus Fizer and Eddie Robinson.
Eddy Curry should be used as our principal big man low post option followed by Marcus Fizer . To earn extra minutes , both guys will have to improve their team defense and rebound the ball more aggressively as well as doing the little things like boxing out and looking for ( and becoming better at ) passing out of the double team to find the open shooter – which is where Jamal Crawford and that sweet stroke of his at point in the 2nd unit comes into play. The deference to inside production off the bench with either Eddy or Marcus and the threat of Jamal there outside to hit the open look could work very well.
Eddy and Marcus are kind of similar in how they need to be positioned within a rotation. Both can be dynamic scorers in this league that have the capacity to be one of three options in a legitimate three pronged offense – where any member of such a trio is capable of taking a game over offensively . I cannot see them spending much time out on the floor with each other as they both command the ball to be able to contribute in the best way that they can at the moment - and this makes the 2nd unit imbalanced if they are both on the floor at the same time. In this regard , a defender (Blount or Chandler) or a vet ( Marshall ) would need to be with one or the other at the 4 or 5 spot without them ( Fizer and Curry ) playing a lot of time together.
Eddie Robinson should be our athletic , fast paced wing option that will be employed if we want to turn the tempo of a game upward and run the legs off a slower older opposition like the Jazz , Heat , Knicks etc.
Apart from the necessity to prove himself defensively and the impact that this will have in how many minutes he may play , the other crucial factor that will drive Robinson’s involvement with this team is this ; he needs to learn how the create opportunity off the ball. This means learning how to get open off screens and finding lanes to drive, or when the lane is closing to convert that pull up mid range jumper. It also means looking for the big man anchoring the defense at the back to be overplaying his man out front - where the back door is ajar. If anyone is best suited to kicking down the back door off a super quick cut to the hole and getting up there to drag it down, or in burning his man off a screen just through sheer speed – its Robinson. This is what he needs to focus on to get his opportunity.
So as to who gets what minutes and in what position - might look something like this :
Jalen Rose- 6mpg at PG, 24mpg at SG and 6mpg at SF = 36 mpg minutes
Donyell Marshall - 20mpg at SF and 10mpg at PF= 30 mpg
Tyson Chandler - 14mpg at PF and 12mpg at C = 26 mpg
Jay Williams -26mpg at PG
Eddy Curry 24mpg at C
Marcus Fizer - 24mpg at PF
Eddie Robinson - 22mpg at SF
Jamal Crawford -16mpg at PG and 4mpg at SG = 20 mpg
Trenton Hassell -20mpg at SG
Corie Blount - 12 mpg at C
So there you have it – one big happy family
The key to happiness in this multi talented , multi faceted Bulls line up resides in Bill Cartwright and his staff assigning specific roles to these players and each of them being prepared to sacrifice individual goals for the common good – from which springs growth and the way forward for this team
Maybe its time to dump the Alan Parsons project thang and replace it with a bit of the Partridge family thang
A whole lotta lovin is what we’ll be givin – C’mon get happee!!
Uh Oh … head spins… I just had visions of Jerry Krause as Reuben Kinkade trading the rights of Lonny Baxter for Brian Scalabrine ( Danny Partridge )
C’mon get happee!!