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Old 02-17-2005, 09:13 PM   #1 (permalink)
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Tough Schedule ahead

Could we be in for our first long losing streak of the season since we started 0-3?

Our upcoming schedule is brutal:
Chicago 7:00pm
@ Indiana 8:00pm
@ New Jersey 1:00pm
San Antonio 7:00pm
Seattle 7:00pm
@ Philadelphia 7:00pm
Miami 7:30pm
Orlando 7:00pm
Indiana 7:00pm

Only Indiana and Philly are below .500 and both those teams could easily beat us. I think if we can about half of these games then we would be in real good position as our schedule really lightens up after this stretch.
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Old 02-17-2005, 09:31 PM   #2 (permalink)
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That schedule is rough, but even more amazing is this stat coming into tonights game (got this from the realGM board)

Games 1-10: 6-4
Games 11-20: 6-4
Games 21-30: 6-4
Games 31-40: 6-4
Games 41-50: 6-4

That's the Cavs record before the Minnesota game. With that large of a sample I don't think you can write that off as statistical coincidence.

With that pace, we are basically a 49-50 win team, regardless of the schedule. The primary reason being that we are so good at home, no matter how good the opposing team's record is we are going to be in a position to win the majority of those games.

On the flipside we suck so bad on the road that we can randomly beat anyone (like a Memphis) or lose to anyone (Nets) at the same time so the team records are basically irrelevant.

Since 6 out of those 9 upcoming games are at home, my best guess is that we go at worst 5-4 during that stretch.
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Old 02-18-2005, 06:11 AM   #3 (permalink)
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lol 6-4 thats great
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Old 02-18-2005, 10:42 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benedict_Boozer
That schedule is rough, but even more amazing is this stat coming into tonights game (got this from the realGM board)

Games 1-10: 6-4
Games 11-20: 6-4
Games 21-30: 6-4
Games 31-40: 6-4
Games 41-50: 6-4

That's the Cavs record before the Minnesota game. With that large of a sample I don't think you can write that off as statistical coincidence.

With that pace, we are basically a 49-50 win team, regardless of the schedule. The primary reason being that we are so good at home, no matter how good the opposing team's record is we are going to be in a position to win the majority of those games.

On the flipside we suck so bad on the road that we can randomly beat anyone (like a Memphis) or lose to anyone (Nets) at the same time so the team records are basically irrelevant.

Since 6 out of those 9 upcoming games are at home, my best guess is that we go at worst 5-4 during that stretch.

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Old 02-18-2005, 04:17 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Benedict_Boozer
That schedule is rough, but even more amazing is this stat coming into tonights game (got this from the realGM board)

Games 1-10: 6-4
Games 11-20: 6-4
Games 21-30: 6-4
Games 31-40: 6-4
Games 41-50: 6-4

That's the Cavs record before the Minnesota game. With that large of a sample I don't think you can write that off as statistical coincidence.

With that pace, we are basically a 49-50 win team, regardless of the schedule. The primary reason being that we are so good at home, no matter how good the opposing team's record is we are going to be in a position to win the majority of those games.

On the flipside we suck so bad on the road that we can randomly beat anyone (like a Memphis) or lose to anyone (Nets) at the same time so the team records are basically irrelevant.

Since 6 out of those 9 upcoming games are at home, my best guess is that we go at worst 5-4 during that stretch.
Excellent Post!

I had no idea we'd been going 6-4 every 10 games.

Thats a pretty amazing stat, and I don't think you can write it off as a coincedence either, if we had gone 7-3 or 5-5 in some of the 10 game segments then maybe but it has been 6-4 for all of them!

Did the site have how other teams had been doing over 10 game periods?
It would be interesting to see if other teams follow patterns like this.
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