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Old 12-18-2012, 05:54 PM   #1 (permalink)
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FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

Having a decent amount of games played Vegas has quickly adjusted their odds for the FRSL crown.

Grizzlies (12-4) 4 to 1 (17-11) 15-1

The Grizz had a great start to the season, which was no surprise to those who follow the FRSL. LBJ/Nash/Ilyasova/Jefferson and Humphries are all off to an exceptional start. As a team they are shooting an absurd 48% from the field, while outscoring their opposition by 8+ points a game. They also out-rebound teams by anaverage of 9 boards a game, with numbers like these the Grizz are no doubt the favourites.

The Grizz had a rough go these past couple weeks going 5-7 after their fast start. Most notable change here is Ilyasova's 3 point shooting coming back down to earth, now at a mark of 37%. Still a very good team, and a good chance to make a strong playoff push.
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Indiana Pacers (10-4) 8 to 1 (20-12) 10-1

The Indiana Pacers are most likely the Team to beat out of the East. With the Bynum/Howard tandem in place there aren't many teams that will be able to control them. The Pacers are another team that is as efficient as they come on offence, shooting almost 49% from the field. And with a great and underrated PG in Mike Conley the only thing holding them back is the lack of talent at the 2+3 spots. If the Pacers find a way to upgrade their wings without giving back any of their key pieces Indy would most likely jump over the Grizz as the favourites.

Pacers staying strong, but they may be realizing that they may need to break up the twin towers to find a stud wing to help them win games.
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OKC Thunder (9-4) 12 to 1 (15-9) 15-1

OKC is a perfect 8-0 in the West and 3-0 in the Pacific. Does this hold any meaning? It has to, it definately makes them a top contender is the West. But they have yet to match up against the Grizz which will provide further insight to how good the Thunder's defence really is. As of now the Thunder hold opponents to a league best 40% shooting, while only allowing 90 points per game.
Thunder had a very average couple of weeks going 6-5. There D is still holding strong, but lack of scoring is definately hurting them when trying to close out close games
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Boston Celtics (9-2) 15-1 (13-11) 35-1

The Celtics are a hard team to judge right now. They have been putting out outstanding offensive numbers, scoring 107+ points per game while holding opponents to 98 points per game. But this has all been done pretty much exclusively at home. But this team is full of crafty vets that know how to win games, with a nice mix young guys that are true athlets. Only time will tell if the Celtics can keep this play up on the road.

After going 4-9 in their last 13 games the Celtics has shown Vegas that they can't win on the road, and when you can't get it done away from home winning a title becomes almost impossible
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L.A. Lakers (9-5) 15-1 (14-9) 15-1

The Lakers can never be counted out when it comes to talking about Championships. They have an excellent mix of efficient scorers that can all play exceptional defense. With the leadership of Kobe and defensive anchors to prtoect the rim in Biyombo and Camby the Lakers seem to have a team that would thrive in the playoffs. Add on the fact that they are run by one of the greatest minds in the FRSL when it comes to setting lineups the Lakers could be a team that finds a way to knock off the top guns when the playoffs roll around.

The Lakers are another team that had a very average couple of weeks finishing at 5-4. But Vegas still believes that this is a team built to compete come playoff time.
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Detroit Pistons (10-2) 20-1 (18-9) 20-1

Although they currently lead the East with a record of 10-2, lines makers aren't entirely sold on the Pistons. But when you have Westbrook runningn the point, Hibbert dominating the paint and Gallinari hitting three's with ease the Pistons might be able to keep this up on the road. Fan's around the league seem to think the Pistons will slip a little bit with plenty of road games in their future, but all the insiders believe that the Pistons will make the playoffs with at least a #4 seed.

After a blazzing 10-2 start the Motor City still holds the top spot in the East, but it appears that they won't be there for long. After going 8-7 in their last 15 games the Pistons will be knocked down a bit by a couple rising teams in the East in the very near future
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New Orleans Jazz (10-7) 20-1 (20-11) 10-1

This is another hard team to judge, but when you look at their core group of players this is a hard team not to like. Adding on to the fact that their GM was not pleased with the lineup that was set out for the first month, we will see a new rotation roll out for the Jazz which most believe will open some eyes around the league, and let their opponents know that New Orleans should not be taken lightly. This upcomming month will answer a lot of questions regarding the legitimacy of the Jazz as true contenders, which Vegas believes they are and why the line is only set at 20-1 for a 10-7 team that has played more home than road games.

People knew changes were coming out of NWO, but did people believe that they would improve the Jazz this much? After going 10-4 the Jazz look to be on pace to control the West
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Sonics (6-4) 30-1 (9-10) 45-1

With such a small sample size it's hard to tell if their defense can consitantly hold teams to 87 points per game. So far it appears that the Sonics should be able to stick around with any team based on their defensive dominance combined with the strong offensive play from Batum and Monta being able to provide an offensive spark off the bench. If they can find a way to put up more points while still holding on to their defensive play the Sonics could be one of those pesky playoff teams that could grind out an upset in a 7 game series.

It seems Vegas had overrated the Sonics early on, but again with only a small sample size to deal with, Vegas isn't to sure what to think of the Sonics. They can still play D, but they still can't score very efficiently
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Chicago Bulls (7-8) 30-1 (13-14) 30-1

Having only played 2 home games out of 15 the Bulls only sit 1 game below .500. While having one of the youngest teams in the league, fans want to believe that Bulls will have enough energy to flat out, out run teams in the playoffs. They have one of, if not the best offense in the FRSL scoring 109+ points a game with Durrant and Bledsoe carrying the load. But with that being said, these young guns apparently aren't to concern about the defensive side of the game. And when it comes down to playoff time it will be hard to believe that the Bulls offense will be able to mask their weak defense every night. For the Bulls to try and win this year they will have to move some of their scorers for a couple lock down defenders.

Read above, nothing more to say for now
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Cavaliers (10-9) 40-1 (12-14) 50-1

The Cavs are a team that looks better on paper than their record suggests. You would think that having Rubio surrounded by guys that can flat out score that his numbers would be a little bit better than what they are. But other than that and their high amount of turnovers this is a team that can and should make the playoffs, but once they are there will they be able to knock off any of the top teams? Vegas seems to think a first round exit for the Cavs is pretty much a lock.

With many teams becoming better out West the Cavs are slowly falling out of the playoff picture. Moves will need to be made of they are lotto bound
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Miami Heat (5-6) 40-1 (14-9) 20-1

This is a team that suffered some costly injuries through their first 11 games, losing Rudy Gay and Josh Smith definately plays a factor as to why they are 1 game below .500. But if the Heat can stay healty they have pretty solid foundation. But the Heat simply don't have that one guy that will be able to steal them a series, Rudy Gay could be that guy but right now he is failing to put up quality numbers. Gay is only shooting 42% from the field and as a main scoring threat that just isn't going to cut it. Many fans believe that GM Smath should make a push for Kevin Love from the dissapointing Knicks to jump start this offense, Smath would then have his dream of having a Gay-Love combo.

Going 9-3 in their last 12, it seems GM Smath has the Heat playing his style of ball. This is a very dangerous team going forward
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Bucks (6-6) 45-1 (16-9) 20-1

The Bucks are one of those teams that can consistantly hold opponents to around 90ppg, but their offense is killing them. Outside of CP3 and ZBO the bucks can't score, and this is costing many close games. They are another team that would benefit greatly from a trade to bring in a 3rd scoring option. The Bucks will most likely make the playoffs as is, but anything further than that is a stretch.

CP3 and ZBO both found their groove carrying the Bucks to a 10-3 record boosting the Bucks to 2nd in the East.
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Toronto Raptors (8-7) 50-1 (14-12) 50-1

The Raps know how to score at home, which gives them a 7-2 record in the ACC. But on the road they struggle to do anything at 1-5. They are currently a boderline playoff team mainly due to the fact that all they do is run and gun. They have attempted to make a splash in the trade market but GM's have been unwilling to make any big moves this early in the season. Inside sources say that the Raptors will not have the same makeup for long and are looking to obtain bigs that can punish opposing teams in the paint.

The Raps are another team that stayed the same and will need to make a big change to have any chance at a title
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Denver Nuggets (6-6) 50-1 (17-7) 15-1

Denver sitting at .500 even though they are averaging 5 ppg more than their opponents puts some confusion onto the lines makers here in Vegas. While trying to get a read on this team, Vegas feels that Nuggets are one of those teams that would finish anywhere from 5th-9th in the West. The Felton/Wade/Garnett combo is very appealing on paper and could be good enough for a visit to the second round depending on matchups, but outside of those 3 they just seem to be missing that essential "glue guy" which is why Vegas doesn't see them as a threat this year.

Vegas was very wrong when they said the Nuggets aren't a threat this year. After going 11-1 the Nuggets are tops in the West. Raymond "cupcakes" Felton maybe chubby but he is becoming one of the best guards in the league. We believe Coach told him for every steal and assist he gets they will give some snacks during Time Outs.
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76ers (4-5) 50-1 (9-12) 60-1

Their attempt at having 2 point guards starting at the 1+2 spots and having a PF play SF seems to have failed. This is a team with potential though if they can find a way to move one of their guards for a true SG and one of their plethora of bigs for a true SF this team can definately make some noise. But if it stays status-quo the 76ers will just be an average team and get bounced in the 1st round.

The future is not bright for them this year, having only played 6 road games the Sixers look to be lotto bound
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Kings(5-7) 55-1 (12-16) 60-1

FREE BLAKE GRIFFIN, is what we can assume is going through Griffins mind after the 1st 12 games. This is another team that is running out a 2 PG system and again it doesn't seem to be working. With guys like Kemba/Griffin it seems kind of redundant to have Jrue starting as well. This is another team that with a change at SG for a more defensive minded player could result in more W's. As of now they are a fringe playoff team.

Still thinking fringe playoff team with no chance of getting past the first round
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Nets (7-8) 60-1 (12-17) 70-1

Outside of Rose and Noah this team is all kinds of average. Their D is holding it's own, but the Offense is just painfull to look at. The Nets at best are looking at a first round exit in what would probably end in 4 games.

Lotto bound.
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Magic (6-8) 65-1 (12-17) 70-1

The Magic have built this team to score, and having Curry run the point with all these other talented scorers on the floor hurts the offense more than it helps. If the Magic can find a Defensive pass first PG and find a way to keep Ibaka on the floor for more than 28 minutes, they would most likely be a playoff lock. But with their roster as is the Magic and looking at 8th spot or late lottery.

No improvement on D equals no improvement to record.
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Colonels (6-9) 65-1 (11-17) 80-1

Rookie phenom Damian Lillard is putting up ROY type numbers, that's the only hope the Colonels have for winning anything this year. But if they keep these players together, this will be a Dynasty in the making.

Still a Dynasty in the making, but this year is strictly for player improvement
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Blazers (5-9) 65-1 (9-18) 85-1

Holy PG's batman. Injuries to T-Ross and Cousins don't help out here, but the Blazers should be looking to shop Devin Harris to see if the can add depth or someone outside of Cousins who actually knows how to score. These guys need help and fast with their offense or it's lotto time in Portland.

Seriously why aren't they shopping Harris if he isn't getting any minutes? This is a franchise going in the wrong direction
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Clippers (5-9) 65-1 (12-17) 65-1

Tony Parker, bust of the draft? His lack of setting up his team and defense are a BIG reason why the Clipp show has been a no show so far this season. This is a team that should start thinking about selling off their vets for picks or propects if they can't get it together soon. They have some attractive pieces for contending teams, but unfortunately for the Clippers these guys aren't playing well together at all.

Parker and the Clipps continue to struggle. Time to SELL!!
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New York Knicks (4-12) 70-1 (12-15) 30-1

With guys like D-Will and K-Love and Luol Deng you would think the Knicks would be playoff bound. But they aren't, probably the biggest dissapointment of the season thus far the Knicks are LAST in the East. I'm sure if they find new ownership the Knicks would be relevant, but until then the current regime has a lot of work to do (unless he gets someone to do his DC for him again).

The Knicks had a great 11 game stretch going 8-3. K-Love found his shot while grabbing a monsterous 15 boards a game, coupled with Deng's great play and Allen's D the Knicks look to be a team on the rise. We really want to know who helped them out with their rotation
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Atlanta Hawks (3-9) 70-1 (9-17) 80-1

Defense? No thanks. Opponents have all sorts of fun playing the Hawks, scoring 117 ppg. Nothing but trades will save them now. Yikes

Still can't play any type of D, and still aren't any threat come playoff time.
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Wolves (0-12) 80-1 (2-19) 100-1

Patience is the name of the game here. 5-6 years and they will be contenders.

Here's to hoping for a strong draft class

Last edited by AllRim; 12-19-2012 at 06:33 PM.
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Old 12-18-2012, 05:55 PM   #2 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

This took forever, so if I messed anything up ****off

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Old 12-18-2012, 05:56 PM   #3 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

Wow...I actually agree with AllRim's assessment.

What's this world coming to?
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Old 12-18-2012, 05:57 PM   #4 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

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Wow...I actually agree with AllRim's assessment.

What's this world coming to?
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Old 12-18-2012, 06:16 PM   #5 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

This was a fun read, it's going to be really fun to see how these lines move up and down after each sim/whenever you have a chance to update.
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Old 12-18-2012, 06:31 PM   #6 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

The lack of trading/trade offers is driving me nuts! Seriously people hit me up!!
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Old 12-18-2012, 08:20 PM   #7 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

I would like to put 25 credits on my Jazz to win the title this season at 20-to-1 before those odds fall.
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Old 12-19-2012, 07:57 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

very nicely done allrim!!!! good stuff! btw - Kevin Love is shooting like crap as well ~_~
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Old 12-19-2012, 10:33 AM   #9 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

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Originally Posted by AllRim View Post

Wolves 80-1

Patience is the name of the game here. 5-6 years and they will be contenders.
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Old 12-19-2012, 12:42 PM   #10 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

lol hunerman, you should have been a lot higher than 80-1. A 0-12 team should bee around 250-1 but you are a good gm and I have faith that you can turn it around thats why you're at 80-1.
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Old 12-19-2012, 06:11 PM   #11 (permalink)
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bump
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Old 12-19-2012, 06:24 PM   #12 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

nicely done I like my 1 to 20 chance alot better then 1 to 40 hehe

btw , Id put the Nuggets at 1 to 10 as well , but thats just me.
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Old 12-19-2012, 06:30 PM   #13 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

Updated line from St. Louis...

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Old 12-19-2012, 06:32 PM   #14 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

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Old 12-19-2012, 06:36 PM   #15 (permalink)
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Re: FRSL Vegas Insider: Odds for the FRSL Championship

Ya, but I really don't see them on the same playing field as the Jazz or the Pacers (when healthy)
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