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Old 03-28-2012, 04:14 AM   #46 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

first time ever in KVBL , my team is better at off effecency then deff ~_~

seems like im underachiving though
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Old 03-28-2012, 05:19 AM   #47 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

My team needs some DC therapy.
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Old 03-28-2012, 09:06 AM   #48 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Joseus View Post
Top 5 Overachieving Teams (Adjusted Expected Wins over Expected Wins):



Top 5 Underachieving Teams (Adjusted Expected Wins under Expected Wins):




The Rockets, of course, had their bum lineup for the first sim, which probably explains their underachieving. The rest? Who knows.
This is a very interesting stat, even if I don't quite understand it fully.
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Old 03-28-2012, 09:11 AM   #49 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

he compered the expected wins to their actual wins.
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Old 03-28-2012, 11:04 AM   #50 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by BlakeJesus View Post
This is a very interesting stat, even if I don't quite understand it fully.
What shmip said, essentially. Each team has an expected win percentage that is based off of their cumulative numbers in all of the games they've played so far. That expected win percentage is applied to an 82 game season to determine what number of games the team should win, in a vacuum, based on their performance this season.

The adjusted expected wins (listed in the Expected Standings (Adjusted)) take into consideration teams' actual records. Every team has played some amount of games and has won a certain amount of them. Those wins aren't expected, they've already happened. The adjusted expected wins applies the expected win percentage to the games remaining to determine how many wins a team should be expected to get the rest of the way. That number gets added to their actual wins to produce the adjusted expected wins.

Due to teams not being able to win fractions of games, their is some rounding that happens. Teams at 57.49 expected wins would be listed at 57-25, while a 57.50 expected wins team would be at 58-24. As with individual stats in the past, just because two players (teams) are listed at the same rounded total, it doesn't mean that they're tied/the same. So, in the standings, a team listed above another when they're both at the same record just means that there's a fractional difference between the two (that could be as high as .99 wins).

So with all that said, that should make the stat above a bit more clear. For the overachievers, it means that they've won more games so far than they would've been expected to, based on their offensive and defensive efficiency. For the underachievers, it means they've won less. That can happen for a number of reasons (injuries, close games, anomalous games skewing the numbers, etc.), but in the end it generally tends to even out.
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Old 03-28-2012, 12:44 PM   #51 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Thanks for the breakdown, makes perfect sense now.

Crazy that the Suns are under achieving so much.
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Old 03-28-2012, 12:49 PM   #52 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

pushaw, Spurs underachieving.
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Old 03-28-2012, 12:56 PM   #53 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Top 10 makes players better (15+ MPG):

Quote:
Gerrod Clifton - 8.81
Deron Williams - 7.30
Russell Westbrook - 7.17
Freddy Childs - 6.93
Chris Paul - 6.92
Cary Carver - 6.59
Derrick Rose - 6.59
Andre Cannon - 6.58
Detlef Landros - 6.47
Leon Porter - 6.46
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Old 03-28-2012, 01:05 PM   #54 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

TMIII underachieving making people better.
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Old 03-28-2012, 01:11 PM   #55 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Quote:
Originally Posted by King Joseus View Post
Top 10 makes players better (15+ MPG):
Do these ratings fluctuated much season to season?
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Old 03-28-2012, 01:14 PM   #56 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Clifton is the boss
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Old 03-28-2012, 01:15 PM   #57 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Can't really say off the top of my head. Top ratings tend to be in that 8+ area each season, I think, but players can vary a decent bit depending on the type of season they're having.
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Old 05-24-2012, 05:49 PM   #58 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

Top 5 overachieving teams:

Quote:
Houston Rockets 3.97
Orlando Magic 2.95
Memphis Grizzlies 2.88
Atlanta Hawks 1.88
Minnesota Timberwolves 1.83
"Top" 5 underachieving teams:

Quote:
New Orleans Hornets -4.36
Milwaukee Bucks -3.60
Denver Nuggets -2.24
London Raptors -1.99
Brooklyn Nets -1.84
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Old 05-24-2012, 05:50 PM   #59 (permalink)
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Re: Advanced Stats (Season Six)

Man how often does the 8th best defensive team miss the postseason? Really need to improve that O....

Cool stats thanks KJ.
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Old 05-24-2012, 05:51 PM   #60 (permalink)
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Re: Stats Discussion

lol at me overachieving
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