Yet another fantastic 82games.com article [I cannot believe I missed this one].
Quote:
Touches per Possession and resulting performance
The obvious first use of this information is to understand "typical" NBA numbers for a possession and how the touches correspond to resulting efficiency. | Touches | Freq. | FG% | FTA/FGA | TO/FGA | PtsPoss | | 1 | 23% | .491 | .49 | .21 | 99.6 | | 2 | 30% | .495 | .31 | .13 | 105.7 | | 3 | 23% | .478 | .26 | .12 | 98.5 | | 4 | 13% | .448 | .21 | .10 | 97.4 | | 5+ | 11% | .457 | .16 | .08 | 101.0 |
Freq. = Frequency of the touch number among possessions
PtsPoss = Points per 100 possessions (offensive rebounds not considered)
So the median number of touches on an NBA possession works out to be 2, again only starting to count from the point where a player is in reasonable attacking position. In terms of average number of touches per possession, that works out to be 2.7 touches. So in other words, despite all the talk of ball movement and the like, it often comes down to the first ballhandler trying to break down the defense and either take a shot himself or feed a "potential assist" pass to a teammate.
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