Quote:
Originally Posted by darkhelmit54
So you probably loved the extensions to Darius and Ratliff, hated the Zach deal, and don't like Lamarcus Aldridge at all right now (hasn't improved much lately). Stop being so fickle, open your eyes. and I'd argue Martell has made significant gains since he's come into the league, and a big step this year. Martell is younger and less experienced and I think his potential to be a steady ballhandler and smarter player who moves well w/o the ball in incrementally higher than Outlaw, who does have more track star potential!
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I'm comparing year-to-year, not month-to-month or week-to-week.
Aldridge has had a nice growth curve since the day we drafted him. So I love having him on the team. But if he tops out right where he is now, he's still a great guy to have on our team.
Ratliff was a proven veteran who was doing what he always did (when healthy), so my analogy of growth doesn't even apply.
I didn't hate the Zach deal, but I wasn't wildly enthusiastic. He was so good right from the beginning that personal growth didn't factor much into my thinking. I just wasn't sure he was worth that much money.
Darius is an interesting case, and is a valid example of where the growth just didn't continue to happen. I didn't say my philosophy of chasing recent growth was 100% fool proof. Of course, we'll never know if he might've continued to improve with better coaching over his career and better health.
Perhaps a better example was Jermaine O'Neal. Didn't show anything here, but once in Indiana he took off. He was a fantastic investment after his first year in Indiana. Meanwhile, Jonathin Bender had shown steady and slow improvements, and wound up leveling off much quicker and was a bad investment.
There was a time when Amare Stoudemire and Randolph were equally productive on the court. Amare had gotten to that point much quicker, though, and his rapid growth as a player continued for quite a while. He was clearly the better investment at the time when their on-court productivity was equal.
Pretty much every Most Improved Player award winner is an example of somebody with sudden, surprising growth from out of nowhere. Very rarely do you see those guys traded immediately after winning the award for a player like Jarret Jack or Martell Webster who are slowly getting better.
It's not "being fickle." It's recognizing inertia. A player who is growing rapidly will tend to continue to grow rapidly. A player growing slowly will tend to continue to grow slowly. If you have a choice between the two and all else is equal (in this case it's not--Travis is far superior at most things), go with the guy growing rapidly.