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Originally Posted by TM
My point (again, for like the 5th time): He should not be in the Top 5 in the 2007 NBA draft
Greg Oden
Kevin Durant
Spencer Hawes
Brandan Wright
Joakim Noah
Al Horford
Julian Wright
Darrell Arthur
Chase Budinger
You all may not agree with ALL the guys on the list, but would anyone take him if you had one of the first 5 picks in 2007 NBA draft?
Take him in the late 2007 lottery? Fine. I'll go with that. But that doesn't change the fact that I still think the GM would be an idiot to do it with some of the guy's that are availible in this year's draft.
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I certainly agree the list above is extremely talented. In fairness to "NBADraft.net", you need to consider which draft these guys are listed in.
Greg Oden <--- HT is listed after in '07 draft
Kevin Durant <--- listed after in '07 draft
Spencer Hawes <--- listed in '08 draft
Brandan Wright <--- listed after in '07 darft
Joakim Noah <--- listed after in '07 draft
Al Horford <--- listed before in '07 draft
Julian Wright <--- listed before in '07 draft
Darrell Arthur <--- listed in '08 draft
Chase Budinger <--- listed in '08 draft
So Horford and Wright after listed after. Lets look at these two players:
Horford is a strong 6'9" PF. This is of average size in the NBA, but you typically like you're early lotto PF to be slightly taller. He's been average offensively mainly due to his inconsistency at that end (perhaps due to the talent around him). Post moves need work. Defensively, he's shown he can be a beast on the boards when he wants to be and is a decent shot blocker. At times, he does disappear both offensively and defensively (again, is this due to the talent around him?) Potential is a solid regular on a playoff team. I don't see him making all-star teams. Gap between potential and current ability is moderate.
Wright is a 6'8 SF. Good height for the SF position, however, needs to gain strength. Excellent passer but has yet to demonstrate offensive consistency. Can he play the SF or is he an undersized PF? Yet to show a consistent jumper. Defensively, he can cause havok when guarding SFs, however, can be pushed around by PFs. Potential is an All-Star if everything comes together and he's on the right team. Gap between potential and current ability is large.
Thabeet - impact size at a premium position; strong frame with excellent speed/athleticism for his size. As noted, extremely extremely raw on offense. Needs to gain strength. Impact shot blocker and presence on defense. Rebounding is hurt due to lack of strength. Potential is an All-Star. Gap between potential and current ability is larger than anyone in the 2007 or 2008 draft lottery.
So in my estimation, its not unreasonable to have these two guys listed after Thabeet. You certainly could argue that these guys should be listed ahead of him. Horford doesn't have the potential of Thabeet and Wright is another high risk / high reward prospect.
Granted, I'm sure there are other guys in the 2007 draft that you like that you didn't include in your list. At the Center Position, the next center listed after Thabeet is Gray. Thabeet is certainly much more athletic than Gray. He certainly could learn a few things from Gray as well. I look forward to their matchup this year but I think you have to rate Thabeet ahead of Gray based on potential.
Tonite, Thabeet plays the might BE power known as South Flordia. Lets see how he plays tonite and more importantly against LSU this weekend.
I look forward to seeing his hopeful improvement this year and we'll go from there.