[drewson]

i will burn my wizard's jersey if we take someone who's name i can't pronounce

pavel podkalakinze
arenanea beedrins

whoever

[twinz2gether]

wow how racist is that?

[drewson]

i said i would burn my jersey

not them

[Arclite]

If you're wanting to get an idea of where you'll likely pick, check this site out:

http://www1.realgm.com/src_lottosim.php

Things look to be pretty favorable for the Wizards, IMHO.

Myself, I'm pulling for the Wiz to draft Andris Biedrins to form the best defensive frontcourt since the Twin Towers.

[BCH]

Originally posted by <b>Sovereignz</b>!
If you're wanting to get an idea of where you'll likely pick, check this site out:

http://www1.realgm.com/src_lottosim.php

Things look to be pretty favorable for the Wizards, IMHO.

Myself, I'm pulling for the Wiz to draft Andris Biedrins to form the best defensive frontcourt since the Twin Towers.

ESPN's is a lot nicer with projected picks. I am not sure if it is insider only though.

[MJG]

Actually, this is my favorite so far: http://www.geocities.com/benschuarmer/draftlotto.html -- Trader Bob posted in on the Blazers board. It's nice because you can do as many simulations at once as you want, and see a tally of the final results. I did a quick 500 just for fun, and this is what we got:

1st - 84
2nd - 78
3rd - 87
5th - 115
6th - 115
7th - 21

Basically, a 50/50 shot between getting a top three pick and a 5-7 pick.

[MJG]

Caught this on Wizards.com. Basically, a quick breakdown of our percentage shot at each possible pick:

1: 15.70%
2: 15.83%
3: 15.67%
5: 22.61%
6: 26.26%
7: 3.92%

So, what does that add up to? The single most likely pick for us is 6th overall, with us slipping all the way to 7th being extremely unlikely. We have a 47.2% shot at a top three pick, and a 52.8% shot at a non-top three pick. Roughly, we have the same shot at getting any of the top three picks.

These stats don't bring much new information to the table, but I figure they are interesting so I'd share.

[alchemist]

Let's trade the pick. I don't want any of these guys (I really like Luke Jackson, but he is NOT worth a lottery pick). I've contended all along we need to keep Gilbert and Hughes at the 1 and 2 and find a solid vet to keep everyone calm when the game gets tight. A defensive pest wouldn't be bad either. If we must draft someone, I guess we should go with a project big man, someone who could be a potential star in the future with Kwame.

[CP26]

Originally posted by <b>alchemist</b>!
Let's trade the pick. I don't want any of these guys (I really like Luke Jackson, but he is NOT worth a lottery pick). I've contended all along we need to keep Gilbert and Hughes at the 1 and 2 and find a solid vet to keep everyone calm when the game gets tight. A defensive pest wouldn't be bad either. If we must draft someone, I guess we should go with a project big man, someone who could be a potential star in the future with Kwame.

So you don't want Luol Deng, Emeka Okafor, Dwight Howard, Shaun Livingston?

[MJG]

I'm starting to lean a little bit away from the HS guys in the draft. I think Howard definitley and a few others (Livingston, Smith, etc) probably will be quite good when all is said and done, but I'm really interested in someone that will be able to do something next season. The best of the bunch is Howard, but I've heard "more Kwame than Lebron in terms of readiness" far too often, and I'm not really interested in waiting three years before any contributions happen. Same goes for Livingston, the next highest rated HS guy.

I've seen plenty of people listing our potential lineup for next season assuming we pick one of these guys and they are starting. Now assuming most of us here believe our team will be better next year, do you think that having a rookie-year-Kwame starting will be the recipe for success? Of course this is just from what I've read, as I haven't really seen these guys before, but it just sounds like a gamble to me.

Of course, if the team 100% believes one of these guys will be a superstar in three years, then I wouldn't argue them picking him up. It's just that it'll be tough if other ready-to-contribute rookies are helping their teams win while we're stuck with a 5 PPG, 3 RPG, 10 MPG HS guy on our squad.