Sure, guys transfer at a higher clip than ever. But the in-season handicapping of it is kinda gross, in my opinion (and maybe only my opinion). It just speaks to a larger unhealthy cycle where we (used very broadly) overhype guys before they get here, try to run them off after a year (or less) when they undershoot our expectations, and in the end when we're wrong about both we just continue without learning anything. My two cents.
I totally agree with you on the point of speculation around "X" player is going to transfer. It's happened with so many players over the years Trimboli, Trapani, Clarke, McGlynn, etc etc
That being said I think it's ok to speak in general terms in that hey, it probably pretty likely one of these new front court players will transfer out, because it is just the state of college basketball now. To be clear, I want them all to stay and develop because players that stay do get better here. But, we know that's not always what happens. Players are on their own timelines.
UVM/Becker has also leaned in more to the other side of that trade; just look at how many more transfers and grad transfers we're taking in these days....Sullivan, Mazzulla, Ilo, Penn, Veretto, etc etc
Just look at our recruiting, too. While there's no doubt we are missing on some of the top kids everyone is after, I think it's become pretty apparent we're saving scholarships for the Portal just given our activity and relative success with it.
The portal taketh and giveth