Ed O said:
The Lakers are in better shape than the Blazers in the near term and, I believe, in the long run. Schadenfreude only goes so far, and while the Lakers had farther to fall than the Blazers, we're still looking up at them in the standings.
We usually agree, Ed, but I'm not sure that I'm with you on this one.
4 of their starting 5 - Bryant, Mihm, Odom and Atkins - are about as good as they're going to get. Butler has the most room to grow among the starters, but with Bryant and Odom carrying things, I'm not sure how much he'll get the chance to.
The bench is mostly made up of players either old and tying up cap space (Grant, Divac) or young and so-far underperforming (Cook, Medvedenko, Walton). Brown and Vujacic are wildcards and could develop nicely. George is, well, he's Devean George. It's not the worst bench in the world, but there's certainly no guarantee that it'll get any better. And you've got to believe that Grant, Divac and George are all on the downside of their careers.
The team will be well over the cap for years to come (I'm assuming the cap won't go up $10-15 million over the next couple of years), and despite what you might read from LA columnists, the Lakers have less a chance of signing Ming in 2 years than I have of growing ears this weekend.
This year has so far pointed to the fact that what's good for Kobe is bad for the Lakers. Do you anticipate that changing anytime soon? And unless they can pull a miracle out of the lottery, it doesn't look their draft pick is going to be any better than the Blazers.
At this point, I'd have to say the Blazers have the better opportunity to grow into something better. The only factor that might shift things in their favor are the coaching choices and free agent signings that the two teams enact this summer. But since both are question marks, all I can do is judge by what's on the roster right now. And honestly, the Blazers look a little better to me if you're judging on potential for the future.