http://tlorc.wordpress.com/2013/10/18/can-tobias-harris-replicate-his-offensive-success-in-2013-14/One of the breakout stars from the 2012-13 season was Tobias Harris, after a midseason trade moved him from Milwaukee to Orlando, where he immediately gained a spot in the rotation. In his Orlando debut, he 14 points in 24 minutes, two of his highest outputs up to that point in the season. He went on to average 17.3 points per game in 36 minutes while shooting 49% on 2′s and 31% on 3′s. The question for this season is whether these 27 games were an anomaly, with Harris being able to produce offense on a poor team or whether Harris will be able to replicate this production over an entire season.
To do so, we need to examine Harris’ offensive game and see what his strengths and weaknesses on offense are and whether defenses will find it easy to stop him or not. To provide some context before we dive into the video, the below shows Harris’ shot chart for the entire season. There are a few areas where he is below average but most of the zones have him at league average levels or above.
In SBNation’s Orlando Magic preview, Harris was profiled as part of an ‘ideal stretch power forward’ and someone was ‘has to be defended out to the three point line’. Is that true though? As started previously, Harris shot only 31% on three pointers last season, although we have only a small sample of 87 on which to base our analysis.
When looking at the video, there are a few issues that can make us question whether Harris can become a deadly three point shooter. Harris’ arm motions are not bad overall but he has some form issues with his legs. As you can see in the below frame, he has a narrow base and often has his knees bent inward.
When Harris sets his base in a narrow way, the rest of his shooting motion gets thrown off. Several problems can result from this mistake but it often results in a missed shot. This could lead to Harris not getting enough lift on his shot, causing it to come up short or it could twist Harris’ upper body which would cause him to alter his other nice fundamentals on the release of his shot.