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I didnt dive too deep but the likely scenario is Richmond W, Bona W, Davidson W, La Salle L. You probably win out that 3 way tie breaker as you beat Davidson. You dont want the Bonnies involved in any tie breaker since you went 0-2.
That scenario leads to a three-way tie for 9th among UR, Joe's, and Davidson. All would be 1–1 among the group, so it would go to record against VCU, and Joe's wins that at 0–1 while UR and Davidson are 0–2 and go to the Pillow Fight.
 

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Who had Duquesne vs Fordham as the most pivotal final game of the season on their BINGO card? In my opinion either Dambrot or Urgo will get A10 Coach of the Year. I would like it to be Rhoades but I do not think that will happen.
 

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That scenario leads to a three-way tie for 9th among UR, Joe's, and Davidson. All would be 1–1 among the group, so it would go to record against VCU, and Joe's wins that at 0–1 while UR and Davidson are 0–2 and go to the Pillow Fight.
That is the combination I thought they meant. But it only works if the tie breaker was record vs SLU, Fordham or Duquesne.
 

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Couple of us on the Spider board ran through the possibilities last night after the game and agreed it didn't appear possible for UR to avoid the Pillow Fight. Curious how this shows a 4% chance with the right help.
I'm not sure where the 4% comes from either. Richmond won't win a tiebreaker over La Salle (0-1), meaning the Spiders aren't going to pass the Explorers. The win vs. Davidson was nice, but ultimately losing to VCU twice will do them in, unless the conference decides to change the rules.

Richmond will be seeded 11th or 12th.
 
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