That tweet was clearly enough of a problem to be deleted already...I am not suggesting that that COVID-19 isn’t serious but this BS is a problem ...
A week ago the CDC announced that COVID-19 was reaching the threshold of not being classified as an epidemic. Another study took this information and removed COVID-19 nursing home deaths from the six or so states that forced or permitted hospitals to send COVID-19 patients back to nursing homes and found that without these nursing home deaths it wouldn’t have reached epidemic status.
The mortality rate among young people is very low. The number of new cases is increasing due to the number of tests increasing yet the positive rates are lower or the same. The CDC cited more positive results with younger age groups and a better awareness of how to treat the virus. The Europeans found no evidence that children spread the virus.
I don’t care that the academics decided to go to 100% on-line classes and cancel fall sports, or that Stanford eliminated co-ed sailing and women’s sailing along with 10 other sports that no member of this forum would ordinarily care about.
I work with “middle market” sized businesses and they aren’t canceling anything and learned very quickly how to manage through the virus.
College sports can figure it out as well,
Where are you seeing that the percent positive is going down? Because in the new hotspot regions of the south and southwest they are most certainly far higher than they need to be, and are also higher than they were a month ago (and on certain days some states have been above 20% positive). Nationally it decreased, but that has a lot to do with regions such as the Northeast that have been dropping in overall new cases for a while without decreasing the number of tests. The CDCs own website says the percent positive has increased in 5 regions over the past week (they mention there are 10 regions, so it's increasing in half of them). Also, this is their statement:
None of that says "on the threshold of not being classified as an epidemic" - it in fact says "it's still classified as an epidemic and likely to go increase in severity." AKA the opposite of that.Nationally, levels of influenza-like illness (ILI) and COVID-19-like illness (CLI) activity continue to increase overall. The percentage of specimens testing positive for SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19, decreased slightly from last week; however, this past week included a holiday, which could impact both testing and reporting. Mortality attributed to COVID-19 decreased compared to last week and is currently at the epidemic threshold but will likely increase as additional death certificates are processed.
The 7 day moving average for deaths was falling steadily up until July 5th. It had reached a peak of 2255 on April 21st, and fell all the way to 516 on July 5th. However, it has climbed back up to 740 as of yesterday. Why? Because deaths tend to lag cases by up to a month since people don't tend to die initially on being brought to the hospital. Considering Florida, Texas, and Arizona have all recently announced that a portion of their hospitals are currently out of ICU beds or are soon to be, we will also unfortunately start to see the rate continue to climb for a while.
As for Children spreading it: again, the CDC on their own website says children can and do spread it: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
And look, a summer camp was opened and so far 82 campers and staffers have tested positive: Missouri Summer Camp Closes After 82 Kids and Staff Infected with Coronavirus
And the whole "the mortality rate is low among young people" is among the dumbest of arguments:
1) This isn't black/white. There are not only 2 outcomes of death or recovery. There's a whole world of outcomes in the middle ranging from full recovery to permanent lung or heart damage. There have even been reports (and studies of this) of men having their reproductive systems damaged (Potential risks of SARS-CoV-2 infection on reproductive health)
2) Low isn't 0. Even at 0.02% (which is the lowest for any age group that has been calculated so far) we're still talking thousands of dead young people. That isn't accounting for the additional tens of thousands (if not more) who will be permanently affected healthwise.