Joel v.Ryan Hollins

Watching Ryan Hollins play center for UCLA over the past two weeks and comparing him to what we currently have in Joel has got me thinking.

Both Hollins and Joel play similar styles at the center position: both primarily function to set screens and roll to the hoop on offense and block shots and rebound on defense.

Neither Joel nor Ryan Hollins have an effective post up game, Joel is kind of mechanical, while Hollins simply lacks strength. Both can display a little jump-hook in the lane and both have shaky jump shots.

I have paid close attention to Joel in the post and am amazed by his inability to finish plays. He tends to dribble after taking the pass down low and holds the ball at his waist before attacking the rim. This allows him to be stripped repeatedly by smaller players. This, combined with his inability to convert from the line, increases his liability on offense. I have witnessed the Blazers go to Joel early in games to establish and inside presence, but his inability to either finish or convert from the line contributes to the Blazers’ getting behind early in games.

If the Blazers are to resign Joel to a long term deal, he needs to change his free throw mechanics, which I believe are his downfall. He brings the ball back over his head on his free throws and adds a wrist snap, both of which cause him to lose control over the shot. If he shortened his stroke from the line, he would be able to get into the 70% range.

That being said, Hollins, at 7 foot and 230, has the ability to run the floor and can finish well. He has shown the ability to pass the ball in the post and can rebound in traffic. His free throw problems are obvious, but his mechanics are better than Joel’s, which should allow him to improve over time.

If Hollins can add 15-20 pounds, he should be able to develop his post game to become a more complete player. His body type and skill set are comparable to Channing Frye.

For the price of a second round pick, Hollins would be a great back up to Joel and in the event Joel leaves, could combine with Theo to replace Joel at the 5.