[MavsPoke]

The pokes are now siting pretty as far as control of the Big12 conf. goes.

With Texas and TTech both loosing home games and OSU defending at home against Tech, with the Kansas loss to ISU, things are lining up for an OSU Big12 conf title for the first time ever.

Of course this is all a long ways off and thier are many games to play, but for now, from a Poke fans perspective we are in the drivers seat and if we win the games we are supposed to we can get our first allusive Big12 title.

Couldn't happen to a nicer team.

 

[Hollis]

Definitely in the driver's seat, seeing as how they get KU at home...

 

[Cycloneandy]

You stil have to play at Hilton just like KU did. ISU is not totally out of it yet... Though we have to win on the road to prove anything....

 

[NickZepp]

Don't think any team is in the drivers seat yet. There's no teams in not just the Big 12 but in College basketball in general that's really a ton better then all the other teams. There's about 30 or so teams that are about the same level. It makes for a ton of interesting games.

 

[Cycloneandy]

To prove Nicks point.

ISU loses to Baylor

Then beats A and M and then Kansas. It makes no sense this year. Anyone can beat anyone.

 

[LionOfJudah]

Originally posted by <b>Cycloneandy</b>!
To prove Nicks point.

ISU loses to Baylor

Then beats A and M and then Kansas. It makes no sense this year. Anyone can beat anyone.

A few years back no name Baylor beat #1 Kansas.... FG% told the story of the game tho, Baylor was shooting near 50% and KU was shooting close to 25%

It's why we play the games... anything can happen.

 

[MavsPoke]

Agree. It would be utterly rediculous to say that one team is going to win it this year over any others at this point in the season.

Of course thier are many games to be played and winning on the road is very tough.

KState had the game won against OSU and it took a stellar effor to make a comeback.

So of course things are very much still up for grabs, but right now, it's fun to talk about my team sitting in a very nice spot for the first time that I can remember.

This league has so many great teams that your school can have ten years in a row of good teams and no one outside the conference would ever know because the big dogs overshadow the others.

 

[MavsPoke]

Here is Greenfields prediction for the remainder of the OSU season.

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/3/2004 Away 83.322% +9.4111 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (71.446)
2/7/2004 Away 64.091% +2.9091 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (90.940)
2/9/2004 Home 69.313% +4.3753 #29 Kansas 87.407 (86.657)
2/14/2004 Home 97.704% +20.174 #266 Baylor 67.166 (64.510)
2/16/2004 Away 62.297% +2.5106 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (82.681)
2/21/2004 Home 82.955% +9.2278 #92 Nebraska 80.214 (79.675)
2/24/2004 Away 62.291% +2.5092 #72 Missouri 82.356 (80.051)
2/28/2004 Away 91.667% +14.111 #266 Baylor 67.166 (67.435)
3/1/2004 Home 64.180% +2.9289 #12 Texas 91.591 (100.23)
3/6/2004 Home 93.521% +15.474 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (72.696)


Now this is the best looking for any team in the conference as of right now. His numbers show us winning out.

Of course we all know that is not going to happen. Thier are at least 5 games to be decided by 5 pts or less. Any of those games could go either way.

But for now, it look pretty nice for teh Poke fans. Especially picked 5th in the preseason.

 

[LionOfJudah]

Originally posted by <b>MavsPoke</b>!
Here is Greenfields prediction for the remainder of the OSU season.

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/3/2004 Away 83.322% +9.4111 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (71.446)
2/7/2004 Away 64.091% +2.9091 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (90.940)
2/9/2004 Home 69.313% +4.3753 #29 Kansas 87.407 (86.657)
2/14/2004 Home 97.704% +20.174 #266 Baylor 67.166 (64.510)
2/16/2004 Away 62.297% +2.5106 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (82.681)
2/21/2004 Home 82.955% +9.2278 #92 Nebraska 80.214 (79.675)
2/24/2004 Away 62.291% +2.5092 #72 Missouri 82.356 (80.051)
2/28/2004 Away 91.667% +14.111 #266 Baylor 67.166 (67.435)
3/1/2004 Home 64.180% +2.9289 #12 Texas 91.591 (100.23)
3/6/2004 Home 93.521% +15.474 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (72.696)


Now this is the best looking for any team in the conference as of right now. His numbers show us winning out.

Of course we all know that is not going to happen. Thier are at least 5 games to be decided by 5 pts or less. Any of those games could go either way.

But for now, it look pretty nice for teh Poke fans. Especially picked 5th in the preseason.

What is Texas' outlook for the rest of the season?

 

[Hollis]

Originally posted by <b>stevemc</b>!


What is Texas' outlook for the rest of the season?

Same for OU, please (though I doubt I want to see it..:uhoh: )

 

[LionOfJudah]

Originally posted by <b>Hollis</b>!


Same for OU, please (though I doubt I want to see it..:uhoh: )

I think it looks very, very dark.

 

[NickZepp]

Texas A&M may be a tough road game. For whatever reason they've givin fits to Texas and KU at home.

 

[MavsPoke]

Here's Texas

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/4/2004 Home 81.721% +8.6884 #68 Colorado 82.929 (85.429)
2/8/2004 Home 81.691% +8.6765 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (84.017)
2/10/2004 Away 91.821% +14.214 #266 Baylor 67.166 (67.435)
2/14/2004 Away 64.541% +3.0118 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (90.940)
2/18/2004 Home 93.634% +15.577 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (72.696)
2/21/2004 Away 62.759% +2.6133 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (82.681)
2/23/2004 Home 69.673% +4.4780 #29 Kansas 87.407 (86.657)
2/28/2004 Home 68.162% +4.0463 #21 Texas Tech 88.797 (85.040)
3/1/2004 Away 35.819% -2.928 #11 Oklahoma St 91.610 (93.532)
3/6/2004 Away 74.025% +5.8417 #134 Kansas St 76.970 (81.618)

Here's Kansas

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/2/2004 Home 78.072% +7.2288 #72 Missouri 82.356 (85.954)
2/7/2004 Home 62.699% +2.5998 #21 Texas Tech 88.797 (85.040)
2/9/2004 Away 30.686% -4.375 #11 Oklahoma St 91.610 (93.532)
2/15/2004 Away 59.193% +1.8208 #92 Nebraska 80.214 (80.507)
2/18/2004 Home 96.847% +18.831 #266 Baylor 67.166 (64.510)
2/21/2004 Home 79.071% +7.6287 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (72.229)
2/23/2004 Away 30.326% -4.478 #12 Texas 91.591 (89.091)
2/29/2004 Home 78.075% +7.2301 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (84.017)
3/3/2004 Home 79.710% +7.8841 #92 Nebraska 80.214 (79.675)
3/7/2004 Away 56.244% +1.1655 #72 Missouri 82.356 (80.051)

Here's TTech

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/3/2004 Home 97.157% +19.262 #266 Baylor 67.166 (64.510)
2/7/2004 Away 37.300% -2.599 #29 Kansas 87.407 (85.828)
2/11/2004 Away 58.193% +1.5986 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (82.681)
2/14/2004 Home 86.280% +10.890 #134 Kansas St 76.970 (69.392)
2/18/2004 Away 58.247% +1.6105 #68 Colorado 82.929 (80.874)
2/21/2004 Home 92.343% +14.562 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (72.696)
2/24/2004 Away 61.136% +2.2525 #92 Nebraska 80.214 (80.507)
2/28/2004 Away 31.837% -4.046 #12 Texas 91.591 (89.091)
3/3/2004 Home 79.151% +7.6606 #72 Missouri 82.356 (85.954)
3/6/2004 Home 80.151% +8.0604 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (72.229)


Of course this changes all the time every week or few days. And is to be taken with a huge grain of salt.

For example, Texas should have beaten OSU at home, and it proved to be a huge upset by OSU.

 

[MavsPoke]

Oh, Hollis, sorry. It took me a while to find OU down near the 50's

Here' OU

Date Site Win Probability Margin Opponent Opp. Rating (Opp. Specific Rating)
2/4/2004 Home 66.005% +3.4302 #71 Iowa St 82.487 (72.229)
2/8/2004 Away 18.308% -8.676 #12 Texas 91.591 (89.091)
2/11/2004 Home 41.806% -1.598 #21 Texas Tech 88.797 (85.040)
2/14/2004 Away 67.541% +3.8689 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (71.446)
2/16/2004 Home 37.702% -2.510 #11 Oklahoma St 91.610 (93.555)
2/21/2004 Home 37.240% -2.613 #12 Texas 91.591 (100.23)
2/25/2004 Away 35.430% -3.019 #68 Colorado 82.929 (80.874)
2/29/2004 Away 21.924% -7.230 #29 Kansas 87.407 (85.828)
3/3/2004 Home 84.364% +9.9321 #199 Texas A&M 72.157 (72.696)
3/6/2004 Home 92.448% +14.632 #266 Baylor 67.166 (64.510)

 

[MavsPoke]

One last post

Here is Greenfield's Site

Here is a great page from Massey's site that averages all the power polls out there, with links to each one. Only problem is that it lags behind 1 to 2 weeks sometimes as some polls are slow to update. But it's good info.

 

[LionOfJudah]

OU
2/8/2004 Away 18.308% -8.676 #12 Texas 91.591 (89.091)

:laugh:

They don't give the Sooners much off a chance in this one.

UT should of took OSU at home, now to win the Confrence they will chances are they will have to beat them there which can be done but won't be easy.

2/21/2004 Away 62.759% +2.6133 #48 Oklahoma 84.548 (82.681)
2/23/2004 Home 69.673% +4.4780 #29 Kansas 87.407 (86.657)
2/28/2004 Home 68.162% +4.0463 #21 Texas Tech 88.797 (85.040)
3/1/2004 Away 35.819% -2.928 #11 Oklahoma St 91.610 (93.532)

Only thing is look at the games leading to OSU.... OU away won't be a cake walk. KU at home and Tech at home should be goood games. Then OSU there. This would be a damn good oppertunity to move up in rankings too. Won't be easy tho. :no:

 

[MavsPoke]

I really think it will come down to UT or OSU and that last game at GIA will probably decide things. The reason I say this is that Kansas has to play at OSU and Texas.

Of course if Kansas can knock one of those two off at home, then we can get into some of those ugly tie breaker scenarios.

 

[LionOfJudah]

Originally posted by <b>MavsPoke</b>!
I really think it will come down to UT or OSU and that last game at GIA will probably decide things. The reason I say this is that Kansas has to play at OSU and Texas.

Of course if Kansas can knock one of those two off at home, then we can get into some of those ugly tie breaker scenarios.

Being realistic, I think Texas might drop a game before the season is over.

 

[kansasalumn]

Originally posted by <b>MavsPoke</b>!

Of course if Kansas can knock one of those two off at home, then we can get into some of those ugly tie breaker scenarios.

actually Kansas has to play both at Austin and in Stillwater

 

[Hollis]

Kansas will win the Big 12 yet again, because they play in the North...