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Discussion Starter #1
Every year most people determine strength of schedule based on last season's standings which is a stupid way to do it. This is because most people don't feel comfortable projecting win totals and relying on them for fantasy. The easiest way to do this is merely to use the Vegas Totals which are rounding into focus right now. So that's what I did. Here are true strength of schedules for all 32 teams, discounting week 17. The lower the score, the easier the schedule.

New England 116
Miami 117.5
Buffalo 119
Chicago 119.5
Kansas City 120
Minnesota 120.5
Indianapolis 121
Cincy 121
Houston 121.5
Oakland 121.5
Green Bay 121.5
San Diego 122
Philly 122.5
Detroit 122.5
Tampa Bay 123
Carolina 123.5
NY Jets 123.5
Atlanta 124.5
Pittsburgh 125
San Francisco 125
St. Louis 126
Washington 126
Jacksonville 126
New Orleans 126.5
Cleveland 127
Arizona 127.5
Tennessee 128
Denver 128.5
Seattle 128.5
Baltimore 128.5
NY Giants 128.5
Dallas 128.5


And Playoff Schedules (weeks 14, 15, 16)

Kansas City 18
St. Louis 19.5
Buffalo 20.5
Philly 21
NY Jets 21.5
Denver 22.5
Miami 23
Cleveland 23
Houston 23.5
Oakland 24
New Orleans 24
Seattle 24.5
Baltimore 24.5
Chicago 25
Indianapolis 25
Carolina 25
New England 25.5
Minnesota 25.5
Washington 25.5
Green Bay 26
San Diego 26
Tampa Bay 26
Pittsburgh 26
Arizona 26
Tennessee 26
Atlanta 26.5
San Francisco 26.5
Detroit 28
Jacksonville 28
Cincy 28.5
Dallas 28.5
NY Giants 29
 

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Discussion Starter #3
Win loss record. There are going to be good teams with bad defenses and bad teams with good defenses, but I'd say generally win/loss is a decent proxy for defense, which is going to be very difficult to project. Bad teams with tough schedules might give a bump to the QB (they'll be behind a lot), but for good teams I think it will depress numbers.
 
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