Boise State to the Mountain West is now off the table thanks to Texas and the Texas Legislature trying to strong arm Baylor into the PAC-10 mix.

The MWC is now waiting to see if Colorado gets jilted.......I doubt it. No way the uber liberal PAC-10 gets forced by the Texas Legislature to take a conservative Baptist school from Texas. I don't even think that they really want Texas Tech, but I think that UT forced that one on the PAC-10 as it is.
If the PAC-16 plan does fall apart.......I think that Colorado and Utah will definitely still jump to create a PAC-12 at minimum.
I'm going to re-do my predicted conference shifts below. First shoe to fall looks like Missouri and Nebraska to the Big Ten then all hell breaks loose:
Big Ten:
Rutgers
Syracuse*
Penn State
Pitt
Ohio State
Michigan
Michigan State
Indiana
Purdue
Northwestern
Illinois
Wisconsin
Minnesota
Iowa
Missouri
Nebraska
* Notre Dame replaces Syracuse if they decide to join the Big Ten.
PAC-10:
16 member scenario:
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Texas
Texas A&M
Texas Tech
Colorado
Arizona
Arizona State
USC
UCLA
Stanford
Cal
Oregon
Oregon State
Washington
Washington State
12 member scenario:
Colorado
Utah
Arizona
Arizona State
UCLA
USC
Stanford
Cal
Oregon
Oregon State
Washington
Washington State
Big 12:
Missouri and Nebraska to Big Ten and Colorado to PAC-10 scenario:
Houston
Rice
Texas
Texas A&M
Baylor
TCU
Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Oklahoma State
Kansas
Kansas State
Iowa State
Missouri and Nebraska to Big Ten and 6 schools to PAC-10:
Big 12 ceases to exist.
SEC:
Kentucky
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
South Carolina
Clemson
Georgia
Florida
Miami
Georgia Tech
Florida State
Alabama
Auburn
Ole Miss
Mississippi State
LSU
Arkansas
ACC:
Boston College
UConn
Syracuse**
Temple***
Maryland
West Virginia
Virginia Tech
Virginia
Wake Forest
North Carolina State
North Carolina
Duke
Louisville
**If they don't get a Big Ten invite
***If Syracuse gets an Big Ten invite
There's a good possibility that the ACC goes to 16 members.......but I'm having a hard time grasping that idea at this point. If they do, I'm guessing that some combination of Cincinnati, Memphis, Central Florida, South Florida, ODU and Charlotte come into play.
Big East Football:
If Big Ten takes 2 or more members.
Big East Football ceases to exist.